Inflation

Trend: Holding · Category: Money · Region: United States · Confidence: Medium

Why we're watching

Prices for many important household items remain elevated even if the rate of increase is slowing. While tariffs are having less of an impact, high energy prices are starting to ripple through the economy.

Next key trigger

August 12 CPI report

Latest signals

  • 2026-07-14 — The Consumer Price Index decreased 0.4 percent in June Why it matters: A lower-than-expected reading showed the largest negative month-over-month change in 5 years
  • 2026-03-16 — Oil price spike triggers increase in gasoline costs Why it matters: Energy costs are a significant input
  • 2026-02-23 — Trump bumps tariffs to 15% Why it matters: Could increase prices on certain items

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